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Tuesday, 4 November 2008
Election Day...
Topic: Wargaming For Leaders

At long last its time to vote and end another Presidential election. Whoever wins is going to have their hands full. The list of things that are going wrong or could go wrong is truly heroic in proportion these days. If history is any guide, the next crisis is not even on the radar screen. The next crisis will probably fall into one of four categories.

 1. Current foreign problem gets worse: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iranian nuclear test (or we figure it out and pre-empt capability)...

 

2. Another significant foreign crisis: Russia stoking nationalism to deflect opinion from its economic issues, Pakistan government falls, Egyptian government falls...

 

3. Economy slides into a depression or does not respond to overt government measures to get things back on track...

 

4.  Domestic crisis: Al Qaeda pulls off a significant attack or another poorly handled natural disaster

 

With a list like this, I wonder why the two candidates want the job. Regardless, if the government does not systematically sit down and think the problems through vice just reacting, I suspect we are going to have some interesting times ahead... good luck to whoever wins...


Posted by markherman at 10:01 AM EST
Updated: Tuesday, 4 November 2008 4:48 PM EST
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